Glos have home fixtures against Exeter and Newcastle and an away trip to Saints remaining. Can’t see them getting much against Saints and Exeter. So on that basis we should remain in the top 8 regardless of our results. Glos also have the SF of the Challenge Cup that they will be focusing on.
Race for the top 4.
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Re: Race for the top 4.
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Re: Race for the top 4.
https://twitter.com/premrugby/status/17 ... nCS7A&s=19
After winning last weekend, Bristols odds of reaching the top 4 have dropped from 47% to 42%
Quins after taking a loss have risen from 39% to 45%.
After winning last weekend, Bristols odds of reaching the top 4 have dropped from 47% to 42%
Quins after taking a loss have risen from 39% to 45%.
Used to run around with an 11, 14 or 15 on my back.
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Re: Race for the top 4.
Yellow for Itoje ! Same as Kata last week ! Ridiculous
Re: Race for the top 4.
Some very odd decisions by the ref tonight. Double movements, sealing off and off feet seem to not be offences tonight. Relatively even for each side. I do not think the angles showed the same head impact for the yellow as for last week’s red.
Re: Race for the top 4.
For all Bath's plaudits this season, they really need us and Saints to do them a favour tomorrow or they could very easily not even make the playoffs.
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Re: Race for the top 4.
Top 4 is likely in the 53-57 points range. That means if they beat Newcastle they are just about there. Plus they have Northampton last week of the season where they may rotate if they have a home semifinal tied up.
Used to run around with an 11, 14 or 15 on my back.
Re: Race for the top 4.
But if Saints don't do them a favour today, it's very likely that Saints won't have the home semi tied up.TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 7:00 amTop 4 is likely in the 53-57 points range. That means if they beat Newcastle they are just about there. Plus they have Northampton last week of the season where they may rotate if they have a home semifinal tied up.
If we don't do them a favour today, Quins and Sale could realistically both win their last 3 matches, Bristol could very easily win 2 of their last 3 as well and then it's very much around 56/57 for top 4 and Bath may need more than just a win at Newcastle.
Still so many possibilities, I think it will be a bit clearer after today!
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Re: Race for the top 4.
True if Us and Saints both win today then we are 100% back in the top 4 race too...Tiglon wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:38 amBut if Saints don't do them a favour today, it's very likely that Saints won't have the home semi tied up.TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 7:00 amTop 4 is likely in the 53-57 points range. That means if they beat Newcastle they are just about there. Plus they have Northampton last week of the season where they may rotate if they have a home semifinal tied up.
If we don't do them a favour today, Quins and Sale could realistically both win their last 3 matches, Bristol could very easily win 2 of their last 3 as well and then it's very much around 56/57 for top 4 and Bath may need more than just a win at Newcastle.
Still so many possibilities, I think it will be a bit clearer after today!
Used to run around with an 11, 14 or 15 on my back.
Re: Race for the top 4.
Probably the most interesting season finish for a long time, although I'd struggle to imagine us making top 4 now. Still hope though...TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:47 amTrue if Us and Saints both win today then we are 100% back in the top 4 race too...Tiglon wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:38 amBut if Saints don't do them a favour today, it's very likely that Saints won't have the home semi tied up.TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 7:00 am
Top 4 is likely in the 53-57 points range. That means if they beat Newcastle they are just about there. Plus they have Northampton last week of the season where they may rotate if they have a home semifinal tied up.
If we don't do them a favour today, Quins and Sale could realistically both win their last 3 matches, Bristol could very easily win 2 of their last 3 as well and then it's very much around 56/57 for top 4 and Bath may need more than just a win at Newcastle.
Still so many possibilities, I think it will be a bit clearer after today!
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Re: Race for the top 4.
If Saints and us win (5-0) today (or we get 5 and Bristol and Quins get 0). Our route to the top 4 is as follows:Tiglon wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:50 amProbably the most interesting season finish for a long time, although I'd struggle to imagine us making top 4 now. Still hope though...TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:47 amTrue if Us and Saints both win today then we are 100% back in the top 4 race too...Tiglon wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:38 am
But if Saints don't do them a favour today, it's very likely that Saints won't have the home semi tied up.
If we don't do them a favour today, Quins and Sale could realistically both win their last 3 matches, Bristol could very easily win 2 of their last 3 as well and then it's very much around 56/57 for top 4 and Bath may need more than just a win at Newcastle.
Still so many possibilities, I think it will be a bit clearer after today!
Us get 5 points vs Sale & Exeter
One of either Sarries OR Quins beat Bristol in the last two games.
Edit: I can't see us getting 15 points, but if we do the lowest we can finish is 5th
Used to run around with an 11, 14 or 15 on my back.
Re: Race for the top 4.
Sale away is the sticking point for me. Last time we won there in the league was 2018, and we haven't even come close since.TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:55 amIf Saints and us win (5-0) today (or we get 5 and Bristol and Quins get 0). Our route to the top 4 is as follows:Tiglon wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:50 amProbably the most interesting season finish for a long time, although I'd struggle to imagine us making top 4 now. Still hope though...TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:47 am
True if Us and Saints both win today then we are 100% back in the top 4 race too...
Us get 5 points vs Sale & Exeter
One of either Sarries OR Quins beat Bristol in the last two games.
Edit: I can't see us getting 15 points, but if we do the lowest we can finish is 5th
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Re: Race for the top 4.
100% agree but if both results go our way today, whilst not in our hands it only needs other results to go as expected for us to make it. Needs us to show form we've not showed this year thoughTiglon wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 9:06 amSale away is the sticking point for me. Last time we won there in the league was 2018, and we haven't even come close since.TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 8:55 amIf Saints and us win (5-0) today (or we get 5 and Bristol and Quins get 0). Our route to the top 4 is as follows:
Us get 5 points vs Sale & Exeter
One of either Sarries OR Quins beat Bristol in the last two games.
Edit: I can't see us getting 15 points, but if we do the lowest we can finish is 5th
Used to run around with an 11, 14 or 15 on my back.
Re: Race for the top 4.
The race is over for Tigers and has been since the game restarted after the RWC.
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Re: Race for the top 4.
We showed some better form but then, shamefully, we reverted to type and chucked a huge double dose of ’normal’ form in to snatch a demoralising defeat from the jaws of what would have been a welcome, if slightly unanticipated, victory.TigerFeetSteve wrote: ↑Sat Apr 27, 2024 9:35 am 100% agree but if both results go our way today, whilst not in our hands it only needs other results to go as expected for us to make it. Needs us to show form we've not showed this year though
Faithless is he that says farewell when the road darkens.